{"id":507,"date":"2026-06-16T08:07:34","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T08:07:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nationallogisticspost.com\/?p=507"},"modified":"2026-06-16T08:07:34","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T08:07:34","slug":"californias-latino-vote-offers-gop-midterm-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationallogisticspost.com\/?p=507","title":{"rendered":"California\u2019s Latino Vote Offers GOP Midterm Hope"},"content":{"rendered":"
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A<\/span>ll year the corporate media has produced story after story telling us that Latino voters are suffering buyer\u2019s remorse after voting for President Trump and Republicans in 2024. This, we are told, is due to the failure of the GOP to drive down prices and defeat inflation. This seems reasonably plausible, but California\u2019s gubernatorial primary produced no evidence that it is actually true. Indeed, it appears that it was support from Latino voters that enabled Republican Steve Hilton to emerge as one of the top two finishers who will face off in the November general election. Hilton will face Democrat Xavier Becerra, who generated remarkably flaccid support among Latino voters.<\/p>\n

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This doesn\u2019t mean Hilton will defeat Becerra in this Democratic state, but his showing among Latinos suggests that GOP performance in the midterms will be stronger than the legacy media would have us believe. According to a report in the Daily Torch<\/em>, Fresno County is 55 percent Latino, yet Hilton beat Becerra by 14 points. Hilton also flipped Tulare County, which is nearly 70 percent Latino, winning it by 17 percentage points. In Madera County, which is 60 percent Latino, Hilton beat Becerra by 23 points. And it gets better. All across California Hilton received twice the number of votes received by Gov. Gavin Newsom\u2019s last GOP challenger, Brian Dahle, in June\u2019s primary. Becerra secured 1.4 million fewer votes than did Newsom in 2022.<\/p>\n

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Hilton is the first Republican who might have a genuine chance to become the Golden State\u2019s chief executive since the departure of the \u201cGovernator.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n

But the numbers that really should encourage Republicans are the results in large counties with a lot of Latino voters. In San Bernardino County the electorate is more than 53 percent Latino and Becerra only managed to eke out 26.1 percent of the vote while Hilton and fellow Republican Chad Bianco received 45.9 percent combined. Riverside County is over 50 percent Latino and Becerra received 27.2 percent while Hilton and Bianco received 47.7 percent combined. Obviously, Chad Bianco isn\u2019t going to be on the ballot in November, so it\u2019s reasonable to assume that most of Bianco\u2019s votes will go to Hilton, including those allegedly disillusioned Latino voters who just cast ballots for him. Returning to the Daily Torch<\/em>:<\/p>\n

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What does this data show? Hilton\u2019s wide wins against Becerra compared to the way Newsom secured votes in 2022 reflects two stories. Hilton made significant inroads among rural voters, notably voters from agricultural and ranch counties with heavy Latino populations. His appeal there was striking, with Hilton flipping several inland counties by wide double margins. Hilton also appealed to a portion of wealthy urbanites, winning several coastal counties that went to Newsom in 2022.<\/p>\n

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Pardon? Say what? Hilton successfully flipped several highly-educated, coastal, and urbanized counties that traditionally vote Democrat. Yes. You read that correctly, He won a number of counties with large populations of educated \u201celites,\u201d including San Luis Obispo (28.9 percent to 24.1 percent), Ventura (30.4 percent to 28.1 percent), Orange (36.2 percent to 24.1 percent), and San Diego (29.9 percent to 27.4 percent) counties. These numbers represent huge swings from Democrat to Republican: San Luis Obispo (37 points), Ventura (38 points), Orange (35 points), San Diego (32 points). These large shifts across the state suggest that the voters might actually be willing to vote for Republican House candidates in the upcoming midterms.<\/p>\n

All the talk of a 2026 \u201cblue wave\u201d notwithstanding, there just aren\u2019t very many competitive districts in play in November. According to the Cook Political Report there are only 18 \u201ctoss-ups\u201d out of 435 House seats that are theoretically up for grabs in the midterms. That is to say the Republicans hold 190 \u201csafe\u201d seats, 17 likely GOP seats and 5 that \u201clean\u201d Republican. The Democrats hold 182 \u201csafe\u201d seats, 11 likely Democrat seats and 12 that \u201clean\u201d Democrat. Thus, to retake the House, the Democrats must win 13 of the 18 toss-up seats. To retain their majority the GOP must win only six. The California primary results offer real hope for the GOP. The Hill<\/em> reports that Republican House campaign chair Rep. Richard Hudson (R-N.C.) said,<\/p>\n

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I\u2019m very confident we\u2019re going to hold the House. In fact, I think we\u2019ll pick up seats. And the reason is, the map favors Republicans, and I was saying this a year ago before redistricting and all that that went on. And I think, with redistricting, gives us a little more of an edge on the map. The seats that are up for grabs \u2014 there\u2019s very few \u2014 favor Republicans. I mean, 435 seats, less than 30 are going to determine the majority, but in those 30 we\u2019re poised to win.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

All of which brings us back to the party line about Latino voters and buyer\u2019s remorse. Has the failure of President Trump and the Republicans to fix the economy with a handful of pixy dust driven Latino voters back into the arms of the Democratic Party \u2014 the people who created the cost of living crisis to begin with? California\u2019s gubernatorial primary has produced no evidence to support that claim. To the contrary, the support from Latino voters for Republican Steve Hilton suggests the opposite. Hilton is the first Republican who might have a genuine chance to become the Golden State\u2019s chief executive since the departure of the \u201cGovernator.\u201d Despite what their Democrat \u201cleaders\u201d obviously believe, Latino voters know what time it is.<\/p>\n

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