{"id":41,"date":"2026-05-23T04:49:59","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T04:49:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nationallogisticspost.com\/?p=41"},"modified":"2026-05-23T04:49:59","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T04:49:59","slug":"the-foreign-policy-establishment-plans-for-a-post-trump-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationallogisticspost.com\/?p=41","title":{"rendered":"The Foreign Policy Establishment Plans for a Post-Trump World"},"content":{"rendered":"
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N<\/span>ot even midway through President Donald Trump\u2019s second presidency, the American and Western foreign policy establishment is already planning for a post-Trump world. The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) website features \u201cThe Future of American Strategy Initiative,\u201d which is described as a \u201cmultiyear effort\u201d to fundamentally reevaluate American strategy by \u201cleading CFR scholars.\u201d The initiative, according to Rebecca Lissner, who was a national security adviser to Vice President Kamala Harris, will \u201cincorporate views from across the political spectrum.\u201d Judging by the first installment, the CFR\u2019s \u201cpolitical spectrum\u201d doesn\u2019t include those who support an America First foreign policy.<\/p>\n

Read more Bob Woodson Against the Grievance Machine<\/a><\/p>\n

Many of the expert contributors are openly derisive of Trump\u2019s approach to the world. Charles Kupchan accuses Trump of practicing \u201cunilateralism\u201d that is \u201cmagnifying the centrifugal forces that are fueling international instability.\u201d Trump\u2019s promotion of reindustrialization, Kupchan writes, is a \u201cdelusion.\u201d Gideon Rose writes that the current administration is retreating from \u201cglobal leadership\u201d and not pursuing American \u201cideals,\u201d leaving behind the gains of the post-World War II international order. Paul Stares accuses Trump of upending and, possibly, eviscerating \u201clong-established principles of U.S. foreign policy,\u201d causing \u201cprofoundly disruptive consequences for the rest of the planet.\u201d He suggests that we\u2019ll have to \u201cstart from scratch\u201d using a \u201czero-based assessment\u201d after Trump leaves office.\u00a0(RELATED: Leaks, Bureaucracy, and the Battle Over US Foreign Policy)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stephen Sestanovich, who served in the Clinton administration, writes about \u201cshocks\u201d to the international system and suggests that the Trump presidency \u201ccould prove to be the biggest shock of all,\u201d requiring his successors to \u201crestore previous relationships and institutions.\u201d He criticizes Trump\u2019s \u201cnarrow focus\u201d on the Western hemisphere and his unilateralism in the use of military force. \u201cTrump\u2019s foreign policy,\u201d Sestanovich suggests, \u201ccould, ironically, generate a consensus on the need to rebuild those elements of a multilateral order that he has been most determined to tear down.\u201d\u00a0(RELATED: The Myth of the \u2018Liberal International Order\u2019)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Elliott Abrams, a member of the discredited neoconservative movement, decries the lack of bipartisanship in foreign policy that dangerously (in his view) inhibits and constrains a president in conducting an activist foreign policy. Manjari Miller notes Trump\u2019s \u201chostility toward the United States\u2019 old alliances,\u201d and his \u201cdisdain for established norms\u201d that have resulted in allies questioning U.S. reliability. Future U.S. administrations, she writes, will \u201cneed to rebuild and reinforce partnerships\u201d after Trump leaves office. Shiela Smith accuses Trump of ushering in \u201can era of retrenchment\u201d in foreign policy that is causing our Indo-Pacific allies to question U.S. reliability. Future presidents, Smith writes, will need to rebalance the \u201cstrategic bargain\u201d with our important allies in the region.<\/p>\n

Liana Fix characterizes the current international scene as one of \u201ctransition and disruption,\u201d and claims that the Trump administration is retreating from Europe, but she believes that Europe can provide for its own non-nuclear security. She is less critical of Trump than most of the other contributors, noting that a \u201cEurope that is strong militarily, economically, and technologically \u2014 serves U.S. interests, even if it increasingly acts on its own.\u201d Fix\u2019s views are echoed somewhat by Matthias Matthijs, who contends that the U.S.-Europe alliance relationship \u201cwill have to become more reciprocal, more selective, and more grounded in capabilities, because the old model of asymmetric dependence is no longer politically sustainable.\u201d The United States, he writes, \u201cwill remain the anchor of European security, but Europeans will do far more for themselves.\u201d I think Trump would agree.\u00a0(RELATED: NATO Commits Suicide \u2014 All We Can Do Is Bury It)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Steven A. Cook actually gives Trump credit for recognizing the changes in the security architecture in the Middle East, especially the more prominent role played by the Gulf states. And he recognizes that Trump regards the Middle East \u2014 except for the Iranian nuclear threat \u2014 as less important to U.S. security than the Indo-Pacific. Will Freeman, on the other hand, accuses Trump of \u201cplaying a mostly coercive hand\u201d in Latin America that may result in short-term gains but will not likely \u201crestore lost influence across much of [South America].\u201d Freeman appears to view Trump\u2019s attempt to consolidate hemispheric security as counterproductive, or at least, ineffectual. Michelle Gavin, who served as the U.S. ambassador to Botswana and U.S. representative to the South African Development Community during the Obama administration, accuses the Trump administration of having \u201canachronistic and dismissive ideas about Africa,\u201d which, if not changed, will prevent the United States from competing with other powers (i.e., China) for influence in Africa.<\/p>\n

Edward Fishman, who served in the State Department under John Kerry during the Obama administration, writes about geoeconomics and scolds the Trump administration for waging economic warfare \u201cagainst adversaries and allies alike,\u201d which has eroded trust within the Western economic bloc that won the Cold War, and is leading to \u201ceconomic fragmentation.\u201d Another Obama state department official, Heidi Crebo-Rediker, blames Trump for damaging alliances, weakening institutions, and erasing the line between economic policy and national security. Trump\u2019s \u201cmore nationalist posture\u201d has \u201ccalled into question whether the United States is bound by the norms and values it has long demanded that others respect.\u201d The next administration, she writes, will need to rebuild trust and restore respect for \u201cmultilateral institutions.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more The Best and Worst Presidents \u2014 the PragerU Survey<\/a><\/p>\n

Biden administration official Brad Setser criticizes Trump for \u201cweaponizing\u201d trade by using tariffs to \u201ccompel U.S. trading partners to accept unequal terms.\u201d The next president, Setser contends, will need to birth a new economic order. Ben Steil accuses Trump of undermining the \u201cmultilateral trading system\u201d that emerged from the aftermath of World War II, and calls for a revival \u2014 even on a smaller scale \u2014 of multilateralism. Alice Hill, who served on Obama\u2019s National Security Council and in the Department of Homeland Security, criticizes Trump for ignoring the threat posed by climate change.<\/p>\n

Biden national security official Rush Doshi writes that Trump has ruptured U.S. alliances, which he views as our greatest asset in a strategy to balance China. The next administration, Doshi says, will need to rebuild trust and credibility that Trump squandered. Trump, he writes, by \u201cacting alone,\u201d has made it more difficult to balance China. Stuart Reid believes Trump is being unrealistic in trying to divide Russia from China because \u201cunlike in the 1970s, there is not a split to exploit\u201d the way Nixon did. The best we can do, Reid believes, is to strengthen our alliances to combat the Sino-Russian axis \u2014 and Trump has weakened, not strengthened, our alliances, according to Reid.<\/p>\n

Max Boot, another neocon whose past misjudgments about U.S. military strategy should give pause to anyone who reads what he writes about war and strategy, is pro-Ukraine War and seemingly pro-Iran War, but faults Trump for lacking a strategy designed to translate military victories into desired political outcomes. Erin Dumbacher, another Biden official, seems to blame Trump for everything that is wrong in the world. \u00a0Trump, she writes, has lost the trust of U.S. allies and squandered U.S. global leadership. She accuses the Trump administration of causing hundreds of thousands of deaths in the \u201cGlobal South,\u201d ceding the moral high ground to China.\u00a0(RELATED: <\/strong>Max Boot\u2019s\u00a0Reagan<\/i>\u00a0Is the Worst Book of the Year<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n

There is a sprinkling of essays in CFR\u2019s first installment that are fair to Trump \u2014 Laura Taylor-Kale and Ray Takeyh write objectively about Trump\u2019s defense priorities. But if future installments are like this one, the \u201cpolitical spectrum\u201d of CFR experts will be narrow indeed.<\/p>\n

Why is any of this important? Because if Trump is succeeded by a more conventional foreign policy president \u2014 Republican or Democrat \u2014 America First will wither on the vine, and the new administration will be staffed by people who think as the CFR experts noted above. That would gradually undo all of Trump\u2019s foreign policy accomplishments and return to power the \u201cgeniuses\u201d that guided the Bush 43, Obama, and Biden foreign policies. In that regard, it is worth remembering what Jimmy Carter\u2019s political adviser Hamilton Jordan said before the 1976 election about the Washington foreign policy establishment: \u201cIf after the inauguration you find Cy Vance as Secretary of State, and Zbigniew Brzezinski as head of National Security, then I would say we failed.\u201d We saw how that administration\u2019s foreign policies turned out.<\/p>\n

Read more When the Villagers Finally Have Had Enough of the Pillagers<\/a><\/p>\n

READ MORE from Francis P. Sempa:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Constructive Engagement: Are We Going to Do This Again?<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Illusion of Progress, the Reality of Power<\/strong><\/p>\n

One Cheer for Ted Turner<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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